Bob LeLievre's Blog – "The" source for Massachusetts election data

January 20, 2010

Update # 1 – 2010 Mass. Senate General Election Results


Here are the “official” unofficial results as of 1/20/2010:

State-wide Results:
  • Scott Brown votes (Republican) = 1,168,607 (52%)
  • Martha Coakley votes (Democrat) = 1,058,682 (47%)
  • Joe Kennedy votes (Libertarian) = 22,237 (1.0%)
  • Total Voter Turnout =2,249,026
  • Registered Voter Count = 4.22 million
  • Statewide Turnout = 53%
  • Comparison Election  – 2006 General for Governor:
    • Patrick (Dem) = 55%
    • Healey (Rep) = 35%
    • Mihos (Ind) = 7%
    • Ross (Green) = 2%
Result highlights:

  • The short story here is that Brown voters were motivated, Coakley voters were not.  Brown not only did well among unenrolled voters (according to all the polls), turnout was higher in cities/towns where he did well vs. cities/towns where Coakley did well.  Coakley did not get nearly as high a % of the vote as Deval Patrick (2006 General) did in the strong Democratic-voting places.  I’ll post more details about this soon.
  • This was a very high overall turnout for Massachusetts.  It was slightly higher than the 2006 and 2002 General turnouts, where all state-wide and legislative seats were up for election.  Here’s a list of recent state-wide turnouts.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=thxE98H5FA6JLBAM9hxcItQ&output=html

Results by City/Town:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tXfNJE2K6wkaFcyRGajmDeg&output=html

Results by County:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=trW6TkImxTogB8HQSDkmQxA&output=html

Other:
  • The Boston Globe website has posted a list of the 10 best/worst town results for each candidate:

http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/top_bottom_towns.html

  • Local Election departments have 10 days after election day to count absentee ballots that may trickle in through the mail, so the final vote counts will end up being a fraction of a percent higher.
  • The state changed the way it removed voters between 1998 and 2000, so it’s hard to compare turnout rates before and after that change.  Voter counts since 2000 are higher because voters can be coded as “inactive” for 3 years before being purged from the voter list.
  • The 2009 senate election turnout rates are based on the 11/2008 registered voter count.  The Secretary of State does not release the current voter counts.  Those kinds of numbers are usually released in the available in the summers of odd-years for the previous year’s elections in a printed book named Public Document 43 available only at the Mass. State House Bookstore.  That’s about 18 months from now.
  • As always, in the interest of making public records public and elections more transparent, I have made all raw election data available to the public in the linked google spreadsheets for use without restriction.  Feel free to give me some credit, link to my blog, etc.

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