Bob LeLievre's Blog – "The" source for Massachusetts election data

January 22, 2010

Update # 5 – 2010 Mass. Senate General – Boston Results

Here are some details of the Boston results.  Boston is by far the largest city in Massachusetts and I’ve been tracking election results there for 20+ years.  This is useful because I can really drill down into neighborhood demographics to make candidate and turnout observations, since most Boston neighborhoods can be clearly-defined by racial make-up and by historical patterns of turnout rates and candidate ideology support (liberal vs. moderate vs. conservative).

Boston numbers reinforce what we already know:

  • The strongest Democratic base (non-white voters) voted very strongly for Coakley, but turnout (ie – voter excitement) was relatively low.  Message to Democratic Party operative:  Don’t ignore your base – Push for turnout in these communities – Democratic candidates will get 90+% of the votes here!
  • Moderate-voting white voters  had lukewarm support for Coakley, voters that she needed to win.
Below is a chart that summarizes the neighborhood data.  Here’s link to a spreadsheet with full neighborhood details:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tM21Wvf03LSOOKZNXF6SeJA&output=html

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December 3, 2009

Boston 2009 Election Turnout Demographics

- by Bob LeLievre, boblelievre@gmail.com, last updated 12/3/2009

Here’s an update on turnout rate vs. demographic group in Boston.  This post includes info about the 2009 primary and general elections.

You may find this info useful because it difficult to find detailed information about from low turnout elections; such as off-year municipal elections and or various primary elections.   You’ll find lots of data from pollster and media sources for high turnout elections, such as even-year November elections.  People who know about it don’t publish it.  I think this info is important because most elected officials get their start by winning one of those low turnout-elections for city council, state legislator, etc.  So to win a low-turnout election, it’s very important to understand the turnout details.

Highlights:

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December 17, 2008

Boston 2008 Turnout by demographic groupings

Filed under: demographics, Election Results, Uncategorized — Bob LeLievre @ 3:20 pm

2008 Boston Voter Turnout Analysis by Demographic Groupings

-          by Bob LeLievre, bob@lelievre.net, last updated 12/17/2008

Here’s some info on turnout rates in the 2008 elections in Boston of various demographic groups.  Here are the highlights:

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November 12, 2008

Boston Population Changes 1990-2000

Filed under: demographics — Tags: , — Bob LeLievre @ 9:47 pm

Boston Voting Age Population (VAP) changes – from 1990 to 2000 – from US Census precinct-level data

- by Bob LeLievre

Highlights

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